prediction-markets
The line between a bet and a claim of knowledge runs through the bettor, not the contract - which is why the law cannot see it, and why a track record is the only thing that can. AI changes who the bettor is. This site is putting its own forecasts on the record.
prediction-markets
Eight European jurisdictions have shut out Kalshi or Polymarket without once settling whether prediction markets are skill or chance. Croatia's statute explains why nobody had to ask
prediction-markets
A reporter assumed eight pages of obsessive rulebook had to be machine-generated. It was written by a human for human clarity - and parsed cleanly by machines as a side effect.